Victoria is predicted to cop thunderstorms, damaging winds and heavy rain this weekend. The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) has issued severe weather and marine wind warnings for parts of the state due to a strong cold front and an associated low pressure system deepening over the Bass Strait.

Despite a sunny morning, there’s a high chance of rain in Melbourne on Friday, with the possibility of hail in the late morning and the afternoon. BoM also expects wet and windy conditions for tonight’s AFL qualifying final match between Geelong and Collingwood at the MCG.

Cold winter conditions, including cooler temperatures, thunderstorms and hail are expected in coming days, with cooler conditions persisting into early next week.

Winds will average 50 to 60 kilometres per hour from early this afternoon in north-west Victoria, and there will be peak gusts up to 90 kilometres per hour. The winds are expected to average 60 to 70 kilometres per hour, with peak gusts of 100 kilometres per hour, over western coastal areas in the state’s south-west from mid-afternoon Friday and then extend to the Central and West Gippsland coast by Friday evening.

Damaging winds averaging 60 to 80 kilometres per hour with peak gusts up to 110 kilometres per hour are expected to develop over alpine areas and the rest of Gippsland tomorrow morning. Gusts could reach 120 kilometres per hour along the far east of the East Gippsland coast. Blizzard conditions are also possible in the Victorian Alps from Friday evening.

Mildura, Warrnambool, Traralgon, Moe, Bairnsdale and Orbost may also be affected.

Winds are expected to ease through the west of the state on Friday night, though they’re likely to remain strong in eastern parts of the state until tomorrow evening.

Two-day rainfall totals for today and tomorrow include 10 to 22 millimetres in central and eastern Victoria, and up to 40 millimetres in West and South Gippsland, and East Central districts.

The Victoria State Emergency Service advises people in affected areas to move vehicles under cover or away from trees; secure loose items around their house, yard or balcony; and keep clear of fallen power lines.

For more weather updates, head to bom.gov.au